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City:Capital District, NY US
HomePage or other cool site:http://www.swa-gaming.org
Membership18years 314days ago.
Last Login1year 181days ago.
Last Move4years 199days ago.
TXWard is currently Offline!Send a mail to TXWard


Message header
Area/Game:Blue Max
Topic:Other
Subject:Re: Statistical Anomalies
Posted by: TXWard - 16years 146days ago.
Message text
flying_neko wrote:
TXWard wrote:
Not sure what your point was, but at least you made yourself sound smart.

I think most people would consider the 100% instant kill rate (now 15 for 15) to be a remarkable coincidence, but if you want to argue that it is expected behavior, be my guest.


I will put it differently. Our brain is made to recognise patterns. It will see patterns everywhere, even where there are none.

The only real statistical anomaly would be if someone were able to predict the outcome of die rolls in a game (or series of games) above and beyond what would be expected by statistics. Such as, for example: "the z-value of my die rolls in this specific future set of games will be lower than -3.5" (see http://www.youplay.it/play/forum_showmessage.asp?msgid=39538 for the z-value).

This has never happened to date.

Inability to do so means that the random number generator is good for all practical purposes.

I guess you feel you are the arbiter of what is an anomaly, but I maintain that you are among a minority who would consider this behavior a typical coincidence.

What does the random number generator have to do with this? Nobody has claimed it is from broken code or anything like it. It is merely an unusual occurrence.

We are now at 19 instant kills out of 20 total kills. Some are surely not so remarkable as there were several R's drawn, but many of them were single R's. I look forward to the final reults.

(42001 31313 10001 0)

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16years 147days TXWard [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
16years 147days flying_neko Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
16years 146days TXWard Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
 16years 146days flying_neko Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
  16years 146days TXWard Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
   16years 145days flying_neko Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
    16years 139days SkunkGuru Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
     16years 139days Calsir Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
      16years 139days BladeRunner Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
16years 147days ksnake Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
16years 146days GraysGhost Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
16years 145days shermanguy Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
 16years 145days shermanguy Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
 16years 145days Calsir Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
  16years 145days GraysGhost Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
   16years 145days GraysGhost Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
    16years 145days BladeRunner Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
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      16years 143days GraysGhost Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
       16years 143days ksnake Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
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    16years 145days Calsir Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
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