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City:Capital District, NY US
HomePage or other cool site:http://www.swa-gaming.org
Membership18years 314days ago.
Last Login1year 181days ago.
Last Move4years 199days ago.
TXWard is currently Offline!Send a mail to TXWard


Message header
Area/Game:Blue Max
Topic:Other
Subject:Re: Statistical Anomalies
Posted by: TXWard - 16years 146days ago.
Message text
flying_neko wrote:
All sequences of 20 numbers between 1 and 6 are anomalous.

Ad-absurdum proof by induction.

List all sequences of numbers from the lowest one to the biggest one.

11111111111111111111 is clearly anomalous.

So is 11111111111111111112, and 11111111111111111113 for analogous reasons.

Now, take the lowest non-anomalous sequence of 20 numbers between 1 and 6, and call it Z. Clearly, the probability for Z to be generated is exceedingly low and, therefore, it would be highly anomalous if it were ever generated in a game.

"Look! We generated the lowest non-anomalous sequence!! That is weird!!! The Rand() function must be broken!!!". Therefore, even Z is anomalous.

QED.

It is easy to generalise this theorem to: "all sequences of numbers are anomalous".


--- Message edited by flying_neko

Not sure what your point was, but at least you made yourself sound smart.

I think most people would consider the 100% instant kill rate (now 15 for 15) to be a remarkable coincidence, but if you want to argue that it is expected behavior, be my guest.

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16years 147days TXWard [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
16years 147days flying_neko Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
16years 146days TXWard Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
 16years 146days flying_neko Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
  16years 146days TXWard Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
   16years 145days flying_neko Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
    16years 139days SkunkGuru Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
     16years 139days Calsir Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
      16years 139days BladeRunner Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
16years 147days ksnake Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
16years 146days GraysGhost Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
16years 145days shermanguy Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
 16years 145days shermanguy Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
 16years 145days Calsir Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
  16years 145days GraysGhost Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
   16years 145days GraysGhost Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
    16years 145days BladeRunner Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
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       16years 143days ksnake Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
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