ksnake wrote:
I realize that any possible combination/sequence of rolls is possible, even if very unlikely, however it seems to me that there are patterns in certain games. For instance, in game 143658 there were five dice rolls: two for me, three for my opponent. I rolled precise 1.0 (2 dots), while he rolled 5.3 (16 dots). The odds of me rolling 1 twice in succession are 1/36 (1/6^2). The odds of him rolling 16 (or more), total, are either 1/72 (two sixes and a four -- what he rolled) or 1/54 (two fives and a six). Thus the odds of the outcome I observed were 1/2592. Yet, it seems like this happens much more often. I can't figure when it happens (time of day, day of week, phase of moon) or how (combination of opponents, planes or scenario). It is very wierd
Ideas? Thoughts? Observations?
This brings flashbacks 
The old story: A very long time ago I had noticed that I tended to roll a lot of 1's in my games. In fact, I even gave an example where I had fired at enemy aircraft five times in a row and had rolled 1's on all five shots. Then there was that time I reported that I had rolled 1,1,2,1,1,2,1 in another game (I forget the number now). Then I noticed that my odds of rolling a 1 was greatest if I was shooting on the 10+ chart, so I started to keep track of my shots and discoved that 73 percent of my die rolls were ones. The next most common number was 2. I had reported my findings and they all called me crazy (how did they know ). That might be so, but the facts were still all in order. What was even more fustrating was that I also kept a record of what enemy die rolls were against me and they seemed to only roll 1's 20 percent of the time.
With all those ones being rolled on my part, I still can't figure out how I was the #4 pilot back in the days of the old rating system.
C&B |